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Marvell Technology reported quarterly earnings that beat expectations but saw its stock decline in after-hours trading.

As the leading supplier of AI networking switches (Tomahawk), Marvell's results reflect data center build momentum; post-earnings selloff may signal investor caution on AI capex cycle strength.
업계 전문지Slicast · 2026년 9월 27일 12:00 UTC · 미국 · 출처: TradingKey
중요도 73

Marvell Technology closed trading at $241.93 on August 27, marking a record high after Fiscal Q2 2027 results. However, the stock slipped during after-hours trading, disappointing investors who had expected greater near-term impact from the company's custom semiconductor deal with Google. While strong revenue growth and positive guidance supported the bullish case, the delayed revenue contribution from the Google contract—expected to become more significant only by fiscal 2029—shifted sentiment. With MRVL now trading below the $254 resistance level, the key question is whether support at the $226–$232 range can hold and propel the stock toward higher targets.

**Record Q2 Results Confirm AI Infrastructure Growth**

Marvell reported total revenue of $2.739 billion for Fiscal Q2 2027, representing 37% growth over the prior-year period and 13% growth from Fiscal Q1 2027. GAAP net income reached $308 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, while non-GAAP net income came in at $865.9 million, or $0.94 per share. Operating cash flow totaled $605.5 million.

Data Center revenue drove the results, reaching $2.172 billion in Fiscal Q2 2027—a 46% year-over-year increase and 18% sequential increase. This composition underscores Marvell's evolution into an AI infrastructure semiconductor vendor rather than a diversified communications semiconductor company.

**Q3 Guidance and Longer-Term Forecasts Both Rose**

Management guided for Fiscal Q3 2027 total revenue of approximately $3.15 billion (plus or minus 5%), with adjusted EPS of $1.10 (plus or minus $0.05). This midpoint represents approximately 15% revenue growth from Fiscal Q2 2027.

For fiscal 2027, Marvell raised its expected revenue from $11.5 billion to $12 billion. For fiscal 2028, the company increased its outlook from $16.5 billion to $18 billion. Management highlighted that AI-related bookings remain strong, with further AI-related revenue growth expected throughout fiscal 2027.

**Google Deal: Powerful Potential, But Timing Disappointed**

The stock's weakness following earnings stemmed from investor expectations about the Google deal. Under the agreement, Google holds the option to purchase up to 58.97 million Marvell shares at approximately $206.58 per share, contingent on Marvell product purchases through fiscal 2033. The deal could support around $120 billion in qualifying purchases over that period, though this figure represents potential revenue, not a guaranteed backlog.

Marvell emphasized that the deal's significance will build over the coming years, particularly by fiscal 2029. Investors had anticipated more substantial near-term revenue impact, which explains the post-earnings sell-off.

**Custom Silicon and Connectivity: The Core Growth Drivers**

Marvell expects its custom silicon business to more than double next year. The company works with customers across multiple industries, many of whom have placed significant custom silicon orders. Google's participation has reinforced management's confidence in reaching $10 billion in annual custom silicon revenue by fiscal 2029, though execution and customer focus will ultimately determine deal momentum.

Marvell's technology enables customers to build large AI clusters, data centers, and cloud computing infrastructure. As the AI ecosystem expands—and given that Marvell does not manufacture primary GPUs—the company is well-positioned to capture incremental spending in infrastructure semiconductors.

**Technical Setup: Resistance Holds, Support Tested**

MRVL approached $241.22 with an upward trendline and $254.06 acting as a key breakout level. The stock closed at $241.93 but declined further during after-hours trading on the earnings release, indicating that $254.06 is functioning as resistance rather than a breakout point.

The upside structure remains intact as long as the upward trendline and the moving average zone at $231.97 and $225.85 hold. This makes the $226–$232 support zone critical. If buyers defend this zone, MRVL could attempt another advance toward $254.06. A decisive break above $254.06 would target $275 and $298.38.

The chart shows neutral-to-positive momentum, with RSI at approximately 54 approaching its signal line. Rather than momentum extremes, the next directional signal is likely to come from price action at support. A clear break below $226 would shift focus to the $219.90 level and the broader $204.42 demand zone.

**Key Levels**

• Last close: $241.93

• After post-earnings: approximately $237

• Immediate resistance: $254.06

• Key support zone: $226–$232

• Secondary support: $219.90 and $204.42

• Potential upsides: $275 and $298.38

• RSI: approximately 54 (neutral to positive)

**Why Did MRVL Fall After Strong Earnings?**

Investors were disappointed by the delayed impact from Marvell's Google custom-chip agreement. The deal is expected to drive significant revenue growth only by fiscal 2029, not in the near term. The sell-off reflected a market correction of unrealistic near-term expectations regarding the timing of AI demand contribution from this partnership.

**What Price Level Matters Most for MRVL Now?**

The $226–$232 zone is the critical support level. A breach of this zone would break the recovery structure and shift focus lower. Meanwhile, $254.06 remains the resistance level that must be overcome for the stock to target the $275 and $298.38 upside levels.

**Bottom Line**

Marvell delivered a strong quarter marked by record revenue and 46% Data Center growth, coupled with raised guidance for fiscal 2027 and 2028. These fundamentals would typically support a bullish case. However, the market focused instead on the timing disappointment surrounding the Google deal. This leaves Marvell fundamentally stronger but technically less bullish in the near term. The $226–$232 support zone remains the critical level for the recovery structure. Breaking above $254.06 would establish the case for further upside toward $275 and $298.38, while breaking below $226 would shift attention to the $219.90 and $204.42 support levels.

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Marvell Technology reported quarterly earnings… · Slicast