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Nvidia could double chip sales in 2027 if semiconductor and component suppliers resolve production bottlenecks.

Highlights supply chain constraints limiting GPU availability and underscores need for alternate suppliers and onshore production capacity.
업계 전문지Slicast · 2026년 9월 21일 13:39 UTC · 미국 · 출처: techrepublic.com
중요도 76

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang expects the company to sell twice as many chips next year as demand for AI computing accelerates globally. Speaking at an AI summit convened by King Charles III in Scotland, Huang noted that customers across industries and countries are increasing their AI investments. His prediction extends beyond Nvidia's formal financial outlook but refers specifically to chip volume rather than revenue.

The forecast reflects AI's growing contribution to different industries and economies. Huang emphasized that companies in nearly every country Nvidia serves want to invest in the technology. While Nvidia's formal guidance projects roughly 70% revenue growth for the fiscal year ending January 2028—putting annual revenue at approximately $673 billion—the company has also indicated that revenue could potentially double if it had sufficient supply to meet demand.

There is an important distinction between selling twice as many chips and doubling revenue. Nvidia does not disclose total chip shipments, and its products vary widely in price. The company's portfolio spans Blackwell and Rubin data center GPUs, CPUs, networking and optical chips, laptop processors, Jetson chips for robotics and vehicles, and the processor used in Nintendo's Switch 2. Still, AI accelerators drive the company's growth; Nvidia generated $96.2 billion in revenue last quarter and guided for $108 billion in the current quarter.

The bigger challenge is whether Nvidia and its manufacturing partners can produce enough hardware. Huang's forecast effectively assumes that additional manufacturing capacity will become available as AI customers continue placing orders.

Nvidia's expansion reaches far beyond the company itself. Next-generation GPUs require increasingly advanced high-bandwidth memory, while TSMC's advanced packaging capacity is under pressure. TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei recently described back-end advanced packaging capacity as tight. Doubling chip shipments is therefore not simply a matter of receiving more customer orders—memory production, packaging capacity, and other supply chain components must expand alongside it.

Competition adds another pressure point. Major technology companies, including Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google and OpenAI, are investing in custom AI silicon, potentially reducing their reliance on Nvidia over time. Meta, for instance, plans to deploy its third-generation MTIA 450 "Arke" AI chip in 2027, aiming to lower inference costs, improve energy efficiency, and reduce dependence on general-purpose GPUs from suppliers such as Nvidia.

For consumers and businesses, more Nvidia chips could eventually mean greater computing capacity for AI services, from generative AI tools to robotics and other applications. But benefits may not arrive immediately. If hardware remains supply-constrained, AI companies may continue competing for limited computing resources, while cost and availability of large-scale AI infrastructure remain important considerations.

Huang's forecast underscores how the AI hardware race depends on the entire semiconductor ecosystem. Nvidia can sell more chips only if suppliers provide the memory, packaging, and manufacturing capacity needed to build and ship them.

Huang's comments came as the Scotland summit also focused on AI safety. He argued that companies should move quickly but hold back individual products that are not safe. "When a product is not safe, we should hold it back and keep engineering it," Huang said. That creates tension for Nvidia: the company benefits commercially from faster AI adoption, yet its CEO calls for safety checks before products reach users. As AI investment accelerates, the industry must expand computing capacity without treating speed as the only measure of progress.

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Nvidia could double chip sales in 2027 if… · Slicast