Nvidia CEO Outlines Blackwell-Rubin Architecture Vision for 1 Trillion Dollar Market
Nvidia is currently experiencing a technical pullback within an established uptrend, with its stock price finding support at the $211.20 Fibonacci level. Analysts view this pullback as profit-taking rather than a reversal, with an RSI of 45.34 and declining volume supporting this assessment. The company's fiscal Q1 2027 results remain robust, with revenue growth of 85% and gross margins reaching 75%. Strategic focus remains concentrated on the upcoming Blackwell and Rubin chip cycles, which are expected to generate $1 trillion in revenue within two years. Q2 guidance of $9.1 billion in revenue represents the next key performance milestone for investors.
Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA) is currently trading at $204.65 and executing an orderly pullback within its overall uptrend, having just tested the 0.618 Fibonacci support level at $211.20. The next key downside barrier on further weakness is located near the 1.0 retracement level at $194.83. The stock remains stable above the long-term EMA200 trend line at $187.86, while exerting pressure on the EMA50 at $206.76. Simultaneously, the RSI sits at 45.34 in the neutral zone, and most importantly, there are no divergence signals suggesting further downside weakness. Therefore, this move appears more consistent with profit-taking after an exceptionally strong quarter rather than an early indication of a sustained correction phase.
Following Nvidia's release of Q1 fiscal 2027 results at the end of May, the company reported quarterly revenue of $8.16 billion, representing 85% year-over-year growth. The data center segment contributed $7.52 billion in revenue, achieving 92% year-over-year growth. For anyone reviewing their positions over the weekend, Friday's stock trading price may be less significant than Nvidia's projection that its two products—Blackwell and Rubin—will generate $1 trillion in combined revenue from just 2026 and 2027 alone. This projection was made by Jensen Huang during Nvidia's recent GTC conference.
While Nvidia reported its fiscal Q1 2027 results several weeks ago, the impact remains profound. Q1 covered the quarter ending April 26, with data center revenue of $7.52 billion, representing 92% year-over-year growth and 21% quarter-over-quarter growth. This growth has been driven by the Blackwell 300 product offering along with InfiniBand adoption and Nvidia's Spectrum-X Ethernet with NVLink, with the company noting that demand for these products has increased threefold.
Non-GAAP gross margin stood at 75.0%, easing concerns that margins would be pressured by the production ramp-up of the new Blackwell 300 chip. Non-GAAP earnings per share reached $1.87, exceeding estimates by more than 5%, extending Nvidia's record of beating Wall Street estimates to four consecutive quarters. Free cash flow for the quarter totaled $48.6 billion, meaning the company generated $48.6 billion in cash this quarter alone—a figure that ranks among the strongest cash-generation quarters in any company's history.
What stands out most about this quarter is the company's announcement of the Vera CPU, a product purported to create an additional $200 billion opportunity for Nvidia. Nvidia currently sells its AI products in nearly 40 countries with a combined GDP of $50 trillion. As Jensen Huang described it during the earnings call, the construction of AI factories will represent the largest infrastructure buildout in human history.
Such a statement might sound hyperbolic until you examine the numbers—the company achieved 85% revenue growth in the first three months of a fiscal year, with the company's trailing revenue approaching $216 billion. Or consider the 92% data center growth, or the potential to generate $1 trillion in revenue from the Blackwell and Rubin chip families in just two years.
Nvidia provided fiscal 2027 Q2 revenue guidance of $9.1 billion, +/- 2%, notably excluding data center revenue from China due to ongoing geopolitical and export control uncertainties. If achieved, this guidance would represent another double-digit quarter-over-quarter increase on top of a record-breaking quarter—precisely the focus long-term holders should have as markets opened Monday, rather than concentrating on daily stock performance. Gross margin guidance is set between 74.9% and 75.0%, suggesting management expects that the Rubin transition, still in early stages, will not create the cost pressures that sometimes keep investors awake at night during major chip architecture transitions.
Rubin represents the more compelling forward-looking variable. Current analyst consensus expects Rubin to achieve meaningful revenue contribution next quarter, with full-year expectations of $3.8 billion. Jensen Huang indicated he believes the Vera Rubin will perform better in capturing additional share in the inference market, a segment increasingly becoming a larger component of the overall AI compute footprint as more AI applications transition from training to production inference. For positions being assessed over the weekend rather than traded intraday, the Rubin ramp beginning in the second half of the fiscal year will determine whether the $1 trillion two-year target is conservative or ambitious—not this week's price action.
The daily chart for NVDA is executing an orderly pullback within an ascending blue channel, testing downward at the 0.618 retracement area, with the 1.0 level positioned at $194.83 and the EMA200 sitting well below at $187.86 as a backstop, while the EMA50 at $206.76 is being tested from below as support. The RSI stands at neutral 45.34 with no bearish divergence appearing, and volume is declining on the downside—characteristics typical of healthy profit-taking during an uptrend rather than indicators of a trend reversal.
Fibonacci resistance levels from the recent swing low are positioned at 0.382 ($224.45), 0.236 ($227.74), and 0.0 ($237.91), with the channel expected to continue targeting above $240. A strong break above $216.40 would target the Fibonacci retracement level at $227.70.
While the earnings call could potentially produce negative results affecting the stock price, I currently see no fundamental reason to adopt a bearish outlook on Nvidia. The stock pulled back to $205 following the Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings report, which notably included 85% revenue growth, 92% data center revenue growth, and stable gross margins at 75% this quarter while bringing Blackwell products into production. Prior concerns about margin compression have been addressed in today's report.
Naturally, the price must also react to any news or sentiment shifts during earnings season that impact the broader market. While bad news days can certainly affect Nvidia's stock, Jensen Huang's assertion that Blackwell and Rubin processors will generate $1 trillion in combined revenue over the next two years is the figure worth remembering as we enter the new week. The $1 trillion projection is what warrants greater focus than any single trading day's market performance. While a $194.80 stop loss is where we should become concerned about near-term trend deterioration, the RSI remains stable at 45.34 and volume appears to be gradually declining on the daily pullback. This appears more consistent with price consolidation within a complete uptrend rather than the beginning of a downtrend.
The long-term targets of $227.70 and $237.91, combined with the stop loss at $194.80, ultimately boil down to the same critical point. Q2 guidance of $9.1 billion (excluding China) will be the next major data point to monitor in case we begin observing any trajectory shift following earnings.